Wednesday, April 1, 2009

Remote Capture Software Fuji

about "stop loss" ...


This morning I decided to do a particular action and really unusual.
In fact - as I have said many times, and in spite of what has always told me - I have not ever worked on "forecast" or better, I have been involved only and only for "desecration".
Humanity is fascinated by the weather, religions, superstitions e. .. by false statistics. I personally appreciate all activities just because they rely on the supposed "powerful" (and dangerous!) To be able to guess what will happen in the future, and you can use to advantage the "evidence", even the most valid.
There is a fundamental difference, however: divination, religions and superstitions belong fairly clear to the world of ignorance and of injury statistics, however, "should" be a serious matter. And it certainly is, until it claims - moving in the dimension of randomness - to provide information "useful" for the future based on sound information about the past.
Speaking of stock, this is the case of the various "technical analysis" and countless "surrogates" who, in a worryingly similar to the amazing "methods of prediction for Lotto, insignificant use of past data as" proof "of what that "should" happen in the future.
I think the recent "proof" offered by the collapse of markets around the world and ruin of millions (billions?) Of savers is much more painfully credible pseudo-statistics, which is dangerous inconsistency are to be charged also recorded many financial crack "in the best families."
Arrival to the point: my methods with pitying smiles condescendingly towards the "forecast", of course, also "my" predictions, since, for better or worse, I too am in them (but NOT TO USE THEM!) often with very satisfactory results.
Let me explain: I (like probably many of you) I had got the idea that today would be started at full gallop. But then, as I do for a specific career choice, I go to dinner with friends and do not worry about anything (because they are in terms of not having to worry!) and wait the opening of the next sitting, ready to willingly change my mind on my case "innocent" (as such does not interfere with the logic of my mathematical systems). And so this morning when I saw a significant "minus sign" did not have to do is use the "B side" of my system, which has the merit of good potersene not care cheerfully forecast ...
But if the future is not serious about making arguments articulated, perhaps some reflection on the past (or bad assumptions) it is possible - perhaps even a duty - to do it.
My guess (not supported of course by any reliable information) is that the "click" at the end of last night at the Future was used to make "Horned and mazzijati" (as they say in my part of) those who had speculated the decline and put the "stop loss" beyond the threshold of 15,380 (a client-friend, will never learn "sticks" of "technical analysis", he indicated that "the calculation of the resistance").
Forget the hypothesis: those who have used my FIB protected this morning could not help but earn, as well as up (with the Call Options price in almost) and downward (with the Fib and Put, as has happened ).
Obviously I expected (or rather, I make them, but use the minimum possible only when you will allow me the logic of the system), so I do not know how to continue the session. I only point out what has already occurred this morning: "FIB protected" beats "stop loss" for so little ...

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